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Category: Finance

IF . . . Hypothesis Updated

October 21, 2018 gapthinking

If the hypothesis proposed last June [https://gapthinking.ca/an-hypothesis/] remains tenable, and I think it does, interesting questions result.  The observed change…

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An Hypothesis

June 10, 2018 gapthinking

“Animal Spirits” ran out of gas in January, 2018. From Investopedia:  “Animal Spirits is a term used by the famous…

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Chinese Credit

April 26, 2018 gapthinking

The Chinese banking system has long been afflicted by massive lending to State Owned Enterprises (SOEs), organizations whose purposes did…

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Read more in: China, Finance

Capitalism Redefined

April 14, 2018 gapthinking

Before Capitalism morphed into “Financialism”, the stock market used to allocate investment to the most promising opportunities.  Any wonder why…

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Bear Tracks?

April 6, 2018 gapthinking

By most (all?) historical parameters, global stock prices are unsustainably high! A brief history:  Between 1966 and 1982, stock markets…

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Read more in: Finance, Home

Imprinted Brains?

April 5, 2018 gapthinking

Two generations of investors have imprinted in their brains that interest rates are benign – they rise only occasionally and…

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“ALGO” Dangers

March 24, 2018 gapthinking

Mathematical models underlie an estimated $2 Trillion of structured products sold to investors desperate for higher returns than conventional debt…

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Transitioning Economists

gapthinking

In an essay on the intellectual bankruptcy of standard (and particularly Central Banker economics), Whithered Economics, I asked the question: …

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Whithered Economics?

March 9, 2018 gapthinking

Whither (-ed?, -ing?) macro economics The governing paradigms of macroeconomic theory are in disarray.  Only in mainstream academia, and the…

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Bob Swan

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